Selections and Choices

Selections and Choices
"NEVER BET ON SURE THING UNLESS YOU AFFORD TO LOSE" Anonymous

Wednesday 31 May 2017

Mysore 31/5/2017.

Mysore 31/5/2017.

2.00 #4 POWER OF GOD - Impressive tracks & good bloodlines. 

2.30 #2 ICE WEAPON - Down in grade and runs well when fresh. 

3.00 #2 ITALIAN STALLION - can shed his maiden ranks in this lower class. 
         #5 GOLDEN CRUISE - upset

3.30 #7 EPHIALTIES - only front runner and will try start to finish 
         #5 STARSTRUCK - keep an eye ( won while resuming earlier) 

4.00 #6 CAMPEON - Positive change in shoe & rider and well placed on scales against The Wolf as per race no 86 summer ' 2016. 

4.30 #2 SARDINIA - class 3 winner demoted in class 4. 

5.00 #6 POET - still unbeaten at this track. 

5.30 #FJORD - Speedy and nice placement in div 2. 

DAYS BEST : POWER OF GOD 
GOOD DOUBLE : POET / FJORD 

BEST OF LUCK !! 

Wednesday 24 May 2017

Mysore 24/5/2016

Mysore 24/5/2016

2.00 #6 AMAZING BEAUTY
         #1 DELTIN - upset 

2.30 #9 TIGRIS

3.00 #1 UNBELIEVABLE 

3.30 #1 CLASSIC KING

4.00 #6 TOBIN

4.30 #6 KINGOFTHEWORLD 
         #10 ELOIKA - place good 

5.00 #10 GUTSY WIND 
         #2 GALAXY QUEEN- keep an eye 

5.30 #1 WONDER STORY 

GOOD LUCK !! 

Sunday 21 May 2017

Bangalore 21/5/2017.

Bangalore 21/5/2017.

1.30 SHIVALIK HONOUR merits attention for her good 4th on debut and should be considered here in class 4 handicap. 
STAR LINE is still a maiden and runs out of gas after the turn, doesn't impress as a favourite. 
MAYWEATHER was strongly fancied last time out over 1400m. Drops at suitable trip but why this rider when stable's retainer is there. 
ARABIAN PROMISE is on handicap reduction and may be fancied in lower class. 

Top pick : #3 SHIVALIK HONOUR
Place : #4 STAR LINE / #6 MAYWEATHER 


2.00 CASEY should improve on his debut run and can make his presence felt. 
ALBERETTA is half bred to Tintinabulation and is well prepared for a bold show on debut. Should win on sincere effort.
MAJURO is also on debut and may need more ground. 
SABRINA is bred in purple and this full sister to Mariinsky and Schiavone lacks preparation but cannot be ignored. 

Top pick : #3 ALBERETTA 
Place : #1 CASEY / #9 SABRINA 


2.30  STREAKS AHEAD won easing up towards close and will appreciate the rise in distance.
TOOTSIE ROLL won well last time and a repeat of that run will see her in the money in this.
DONT DILLY DALLY won under pressure and extended trip is negative. 
MANIFOLD looks progressive and ran a big race in much stronger grade last start. Hard to beat. 
OCCITAN steps up in trip and can save place money. 

Top pick : #4 MANIFOLD 
Placd #1 STREAK AHEAD / #5 OCCITAN

3.00 FLOTUS drops in grade and gets well in after the claim.
JUNEAU makes her handicap debut and gets ace rider in saddle. 
ROYAL SERENITY resumes here. She flies fresh and looks ready to go with Suraj up. 
CALIKO KING ran couple of good races in winters and can save place money. 

Top pick : #3 ROYAL SERENITY
Place #2 JUNEAU / #7 CALICO KING

3.30 MICHAELA was pulled last time out as a favourite and doesn't impress here for win. 
EL FENIX won well last out among his own age group. 
AMAZING REDD drops in grade and won well earlier at sprint.
FABULOUS TOUCH has been eased in grade and will not go down without a fight. Is nicely placed on scales.
HONOUR has been tracked, went down fighting last time out. 
ALEXANDRITE has handicap chance under 2kg claim. 
THOMAS MORE has early speed which will stand him in good stead at shorter trip. Handicap suits. 

Top pick : #10 THOMAS MORE 
Place : #6 FABULOUS TOUCH/ #9 ALEXANDRITE


4.00 SIVER IKON is speedy and is the winner of two races. Doesn't inspire conceding weight over an extended trip. 
TUTANKHAMUN proved himself superior to all the rest barring RUFFINA in PBMM. Looks capable of measuring up in this tougher assignment.
CAPO DE CAPI demonstrated her raw ability with a slick win on debut. Looks promising and can challenge if he goes on from his maiden win. 
MAURITANIA rises in class on the last-start maiden victory but it's hard to knock winning form. 

Top pick : #2 TUTANKHAMUN 
Place : #4 MAURITIANA


4.30 APALACHEE had a nice educative run on debut and can improve. 
GOSHAWK is got abroad and is well prepared for bold show. 
GREAT TRIBUTE is working well and make his presence felt.
MALANA went down fighting to better one. Can make amends to shed her maiden tag. 

Top pick : #6 GOSHAWK 
Place : #9 MALANA/ #2 APALACHEE


5.00 WONDER WOMAN drops in grade and can score in this company despite of conceding weight.
Ignore last easy effort of JACK OF HEARTS while resuming. He has race fitness on his side and the speed to be up front.
GOLDEN NIMBUS drops in grade and is well prepared.
REPSOL has come down a lot in scales and has won with this rider earlier.
SIMPLE SUM was suggestive 3rd over a mile. Drops in distance and rider repeats.
REVERBERATING has low weights and is tracking fine.

Top pick : #1 WONDER WOMAN
Next best : #2 JACK OF HEARTS


5.30 ALAINA is on encore but conceding weight to youngsters.
THEMESIS won well and looks progressive sort. She should improve and develop into quality middle distance filly. Strong fancy.
TURF STAR is a sprinter who has always finished out of board at this trip.
SANA ran a good race last time out and can earn another minor cheque.

Top pick : #5 THEMESIS 
Place : #7 SANA/ #6 TURF STAR


Days Best : MANIFOLD
Good Double : THEMESIS

BEST OF LUCK !! 


Friday 19 May 2017

Bangalore 20/5/2017

Bangalore 20/5/2017

2.00 MASTERS GLORY steps down in grade, won fluently in this category earlier.
THUNDERSQUALL is another demotee with 2kg allowance at unsuitable trip. 
AMAZING LOVE resumes after long break and may need this outing. 
BLAZING FAITH is a failed favourite.
MAJESTICAL has been nicely prepared and has matched strides with better ones in western India and has a chance in this ordinary set. 

Top pick : #7 MAJESTICAL 


2.30 GOLDEN SUCCESS resumes from a lengthy lay off and may need this run.
ZAFRINA is unreliable but has a chance as the field is weak. 
LOVE FOR LIFE ran a forward race last week and is up in grade. 
HIDDEN DEAL ran a suggestive 4th before the spell and has low weights now. 

Top pick : #7 ZAFRINA 


3.00 MASTER OF WAR finished faraway fourth last time and blinkers on can help extract further improvement.
SHAMAN was a noteworthy second on debut in a million race, looks vastly improved and creates interest as the only colt in the race.
CASTANEA finished good 4th on debut,  has been well rested and ready to go fresh. 
SO MI DAR showed lot of dash when all was over last time out, runs with a hope. 

Top pick : #3 SHAMAN 


3.30 GYPSY maintains form and is on the hat-trick but looks out handicapped in this set. 
TOP STRIKER finished good 3rd last out before the spell. Drops in grade and has a fair chance with positive switch in rider. 
ANANTARA has been eased in grade and is out on a trial run. 
SIOBHAN has been placed at three out of five runs last campaign. Performance sequence suggests she is due for a win now. Is better placed on scales against Gypsy. 
THAT'S MY CLASS merits consideration as he is the only 3yo in this set and has a low weights. 
HAVELOCK PRINCESS is consistent and runs with an upset chance. 

Top pick : #5 SIOBHAN 
Upset : #11 HAVELOCK PRINCESS 


4.00 RAFA has come back from a spell in career best form. He'll only improve off his last comfortable win and will be tough to beat. Strong fancy. 
AYRTON is oldie who has a handicap chance with 4kg claim. 
ROYAL SCEPTRE is out for an airing. 
MAGISTERO was good in some classics in madras before the spell. With the benefit of recent trials he can threaten. 

Top pick : #1 RAFA 


4.30 SHINING MAGIC drops in grade, will strip fitter second-up from spell and apprentice claim brings him nicely in in this field. Can win if connections desire. 
MARIKO put in a fair run on resumption and gets the positive rider in saddle. 
POWERS COURT has not seen in morning trials and may find this trip short for her liking. 
PRAZSKY is speedy but has weak rookie. 
RARE AND BOLD went down fighting last time and his chances cannot be ruled out.
WINGS OF FORTUNE has a low weights and has run benedit.

Top pick : #1 SHINING MAGIC 


5.00 ARECA WONDER doesn't impress conceding weight. 
CADILLAC SKY performed below expectations in winters.
STAR COMRADE has not been far away at recent outings in stronger company, he may appreciate a drop back in distance. 
TUSCANO is consistent and can be followed among his own age group.
TANOURA disappointed after a fluent maiden win, looks fit in tracks and ready to make amends with same rider repeating. 
LAMREI lost in blanket finish to Tindrella and runs with fair chance. 
PROUDPRINCE has an ordinary rider for this. 

Top pick : #7 TANOURA


5.30  DAGOBERT is still a maiden despite of some fair performances. Now eased in grade and may oblige in this lower category. 
TAMARA drops in grade and has a chance with 3kg claimer. 
COOL SPRINGS can be followed among her own age group, last effort was suggestive. 
GIRL WITH PEARL was well backed last start at 1400m but was given no hope in the run. Back in trip and deserves another chance. Watch betting. 

Top pick : #1 DAGOBERT 


DAYS BEST : RAFA

GOOD DOUBLE : SHAMAN/ SIOBHAN 

BEST OF LUCK !! 


Thursday 18 May 2017

Plus Factors

Plus Factors
-------------

Equipments 

The universal equipment change familiar to all handicappers is ' blinkers on.' The blinkers are intended to help horses focus on the task at hand, as opposed to looking around aimlessly, at the opposition or the environs. The desired effects will be most noticeable with young, lightly raced horses getting acquainted with the sport and typically result in a greater display of early speed. 

Handicappers like to see blinkers added to maidens, very lightly raced juveniles, and three year olds that have suffered gate problems, breaking slowly in particular. 

At the opposite extreme, blinkers added to older horses that have completed in 20 races or thereabouts makes little sense. Perhaps the latest jockey recommended the change, and in the usual circumstances it amounts to trial-and-error that might help matters, but probably not. 

At times the removal of blinkers on experienced horses 4Y&O results in a conspicuously awful performance; the horses detested the change. 
If blinkers are restored next time in combination with other changes that should enhance the horses' chances to win, that might be an attractive situation. The odds should crawl upwards following the ugly effort and now the horses will not only be more comfortable but will also have a stronger chance to win. 

Probably the most familiar negative equipment change involves the addition of front wraps. The presence of back wraps has a neutral connotation, intended as they usually are to protect the horses from discomforts of 'running down,' or brushing their ankles in the topsoil of the track's surface. 
But front wraps are intended as support for tendons, bones, and ligaments that might be sore or strained. Front wraps will be most problematic on maidens. 
In these limited circumstances, the sudden appearance of the wraps can be cause for elimination. Obviously, whenever horses have won with front wraps, handicappers can relax. A number of aged geldings that have been hard-knockers in handicap races win while adorned with front wraps again and again; drops in class do not matter. 

Regards 

Tuesday 16 May 2017

Plus factors

Plus factors 
-------------

Factor: If one horse is heavily bet and it's odds fall below 8 to 5, any contender whose odds do not rise is worth backing. 

Reasoning : When the odds on the favourite drop, the odds on the other should rise. If the 4 to 1 or 5 to 1 shot holds steady when the favourite drops from 5 to 2 to 7 to 5 or below, you know that many people have been buying tickets on the longer - priced animal. 

Comment : A good handicapping is the key. If the favourite looks to you like a sucker horse, and you like the other, the steadiness of its odds is an indication that other smart players feel the same way. 

Regards 

Monday 15 May 2017

Plus factors

Plus factors 

If time permits I'll keep posting some valuable principles that work to build your own system for selection process. 

Some of the points I consider while selecting 2/3 yo maidens. 

1- First preference to fillies upto 1200m. At longer distance (1400m & beyond) colts & geldings better chance. 
2- Bloodlines 
3- Trainer 
4- Jockey 
5- Track work ( atleast one sharp workout & one gate practice) 
6- Birth date especially during the winter season , the oldest the better. 
7- Avoid any 2/3 yo with multiple equipments on debut. 

8- If there is only colt in race against geldings and fillies and fulfills any 3 or more above criteria then play it. 


** First and second starters are more dangerous among the experienced youngsters who have not won even after 2 or more career starts. 

Regards 

Sunday 14 May 2017

Bangalore 14/5/2017

Bangalore 14/5/2017

1.30 #3 EMANCIPATION 
        #2 ROCK STEADY - keep an eye 

2.00 #11 SYMPHONICA

2.30 #3 HIGH ADMIRAL

3.00 #1 RUM RUNNER

3.30 #1 ANTANANARIVO 

4.00 #1 SERJEANT AT ARMS

4.35 #6 ATTORNEY GENERAL 

5.10 #1 CELESTIAL STORM
        #2 RAIN KISSED - Upset

5.45 #5 GRECIAN LIGHT
         

Days Best : ATTORNEY GENERAL 

Good Double : ANTANANARIVO 

BEST OF LUCK ! ! 

Friday 12 May 2017

Bangalore 13/5/2017

Bangalore 13/5/2017

2.00 AFRIKANER showed speed on debut only to be outmuscled late. With natural improvement he can go one better. 
Keep an eye on well prepared debutant #3 GRAND EMPIRE who can make his presence felt. 

2.30 #1 DIVINO finished good 2nd last time out before the spell. That looks good form for this. Drops in grade & one to beat with rider repeating. 

3.00 #6 OLYMPIA FIELDS was spelled after finishing a good fifth behind a talented rival on debut. Is likely to have developed during a break and should be respected fresh. Strong fancy. 

3.30 #2 CHEMICAL ROMANCE gets her chance to break through in her handicap debut and this doesn't look a strong race. 

4.00 #1 GOLDBERG looks to have a class edge on his opposition and will be tough to beat here first-up. 

4.30 #11 LA MAGNIFIQUE appreciated the rise in distance to break through last time out. In another suitable race he can repeat the dose. 

5.00 #1 BRUNESCO is suited by this class and distance, he has been a beaten favourite at his last outing but should be prominent throughout and hard to hold off with P Trevor in saddle. 

5.30 #4 FREESTYLE has been in good form with recent placings before the spell and drops significantly in grade making him a good valuable bet. 

Days Best : OLYMPIA FIELD

BEST OF LUCK !! 




Sunday 7 May 2017

Ooty 7/5/17

Ooty 7/5/17

1-1 FIREBRAND 

2-5 AMAZON CAT
2-1 ESTABLISHE PREDATOR- upset 

3-1 TWO OCEANS 

4-7 SAFFIRE SONG 

5-7 FAST CAR 

6-3 ROYAL DEFENCE 

7-8 WINDSOR FOREST

8-7 CAPILANO

9-1 I AM HERE 

Good Bet : WINDSOR FOREST

GOOD LUCK !!