Selections and Choices

Selections and Choices
"NEVER BET ON SURE THING UNLESS YOU AFFORD TO LOSE" Anonymous

Sunday 15 December 2013

MUMBAI 1000 GUINEAS 15/12/2013

Hello Friends,

Very ordinary card framed for the first classic day of the season.Here are my selections and choices for the day.

RACE 1]
As usual firsr race begins with class VB contestants.This race should be a close contest between trio of New Star,St.Barts and Song Of Africa.
New Star still a unexposed,maiden after 7 starts so far has been worked and hasgiven one suggestive run in race no 22 at Pune over 5 furlongs.Now for the first time he is getting good jockey on board should run a good race with a run under his belt.
St.Barts now demoted,is tracking fine,has shown improvement over sprints in his last two starts at Pune and has a strong chance to win in this weak field. 
Song Of Africa finished good third in his earlier start this season where she entered along the fence in a rough passage and jockey reported the loss of his whip near the winning post.Has a form and fitness advantage over others and should run a good race. 

My Selections: St.Barts, Song Of Africa, New Star.
My Choice: ST.BARTS for win.

RACE 2]
Another class VB race.I would like to skip this race as non of the runners are worth for betting except LaurusTikati who showed some positive signs in her start over same trip and has a good chance to finally shed her maiden tag .

My Choice: LAURUS TIKATI Each Way.

RACE 3] 
This race seem to be a close contest between Manyatta and Scarlet Pimpernal.
Manyatta after running two races earlier this season against Alandair and Silver Arrow respectively is showing good form and fitness and looks to run a big race.
Scarlet Pimpernal has been out of form since last few months but his close fourth behind Clinton in his last start where he was slow out was  notable.Is blazing in morning trials and looks a big danger to Manyatta.

My Selections: Scarlet Pimpernal , Manyatta.
My  Choice: SCARLET PIMPERNAL

RACE 4]
Victorious March a fluent winner in his last start looks in fine form but has huge penalty to defy.
Port Blair may place.
Rio is a very speedy 3 yrs old may struggle over the long Mumbai stretch,may go close.
Way Out is now poised to complete a hatrick is been prepared very well in the morning trials and looks a leading contender with Sandesh astride.
Deep Diver wil find this trip to be sharp but can spring a surprise t this low weights.

My Selections: Way Out, Port Blair, Rio.
My Choice: WAY OUT for win.

RACE 5] Preference given to 3 yrs old only as older horses does not impress for win.
Ultrasonic a winner in this class now returning back to handicap race after running in terms race is working well and may upset with J.Fortune on board.
Yellow Zone trailed off badly in her last two starts,could not be ignored over here as she is class wise better
than the rest and if she shows her earlier form,than she merits a strong consideration.
Trisara won in a good style,now on promotion,seems to have come in hand gradually and can repeat  under penalty.
Victoria Falls is a well bred filly who won her debut race very impressively is tracking fine and looks a strong contender.

My Selections: Trisara,Yellow Zone,Victoria Falls.
My Choice: TRISARA for win. YELLOW ZONE upset.

RACE 6] Dreams Of You failed favourite in her last start,looks tough for win over here as she is conceding weight to other 3 yrs old.
Pumba should be followed among older horses.
Demonic ran twice second  over same trip, now has handicap in favour,may strike over here.  
Giant Luck should improve in terms of his late finishing fourth in his last outing.
Other Song made her move too late in her last start over 1400m and should run a good race if stays the trip.
Penny Lane should find no difficulty over staying this trip as pedigree suggests she could go over this extended trip.     
Amazing Desire is tracking well and as the master trainer has entered her over mile and a quarter trip on debut than there should be less doubt on her staying capabilities and must be considered as an educative run.

My Selections: Demonic, Dreams Of You, Penny Lane.
My Choice: DEMONIC for win.

RACE 7] Feature event of the day,The Deltin Indian 1000 Guineas (Grade I)

Selections/Choices will be posted later.

RACE 8]
For 2 yrs maiden horses.Preference given to those with a benefit of run and tracks.

My Selections: Kazuri, War Command, Himalayan Dancer.
My Choice: KAZURI for win.

RACE 9] Bad Race
My Selections: Zoe, Arabian, Queen, Lucky red.
My Choice: ZOE for win.(Merits a following on basis of her last run)

DAYS BEST: WAY OUT
GOOD DBL: SCARLET PIMPERNAL,KAZURI
UPSET: YELLOW ZONE,LAURUS TIKATI

GOOD LUCK,BET WISE.

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